The holiday period road toll for the past 12 years shows (as it does in my point about safety) that the mean level rate is relatively constant over a period. As with safety, there will be accidents and incidents and in some cases Pressure Induced Inconvenient Events (PIIE) as people are in hurry to get to their location or home.
What we see is a count that goes up and down with no key reason behind the points (maybe fuel, weather, economy all playing a part). Just like the workplace deaths each year ,the rates vary slightly, but over time show that regardless of any advertising campaign or incentives, events still occur. So I wonder if we saved all that money the government spends of safe driving campaigns and put this money into better roads (engineering) we would see an improvement? Maybe speeding might go up as result of better road, but that's why speed laws are in place...aren't they?
As likened with work, people don't drive to kill themselves; so why do we keep assuming that we can change people using any form of manipulation.
So the mean level I have worked out for these two 12 year periods are;
Christmas 58.6
Easter 26.3
So if we have a count lower than this score then we can say we had a good year (still means nothing). If higher we can say we had a tragic year (still means nothing). As with the road toll, workplace safety is at a level also at around 170 per year. Just like the road toll, the workplace will fluctuate also and as I keep saying; there is nothing we can do to change this, just like people who hit their finger banging in a nail.
So what we can now say is that this year 2015, I think we have had more deaths as the Easter count is going to be higher (probably a factor of wet whether and cheaper fuel) so shame on us, as we have most likely gone above the mean level of accidents.
